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New PokerTracker

Saturday, March 28th, 2009

I’ve just downloaded the new PokerTracker beta – All-in performance charts have been added at last! Looks like I went through a lucky patch early on in my ‘career’, but it evened up recently. The recent unluckiness coincides with my tighter range I implemented in December, so I guess in reality that change in strategy was better than it appeared. Maybe I shouldn’t feel so bad that my cash games haven’t been as meteoric as I’d hoped…

I downloaded the beta mainly to add M to my hud (how lazy! It’s not like it’s a hard stat to work out on the fly), and while it’s not in PT by default, they describe how to add it here, but it required the latest beta.

The only other new things that are immediately obvious is a details page, giving an overall rundown all on one page, and having the HUD on the hand replayer. Not sure that the details page is that useful, but the replayer hud definitely is (although at the moment it’s hanging my computer, but then it is a beta…).

Update: Today was an MTT day – while trying to mess around with PokerTracker and failing to add M to the HUD (can’t be done apparently, despite that link) I was doing $0.25 tourneys while testing what would show (or not show) on the HUD. Once I found I couldn’t do it, I realised I was in the middle of two 45 player tournaments, and doing ok. I went on to place 1st in one of them, but bust out the other – massive prize of $3.49, but when the outlay was 25 cents that’s a nice bit of ROI :-)

I then figured I might as well stick to the MTTs since it was raining, and randomly opened $1 tournaments (18, 21 and 45s). By the end of the day I’d played 13 tournaments (not incl the 25 cent ones), and only got winning places in the 18s (one 1st and two 2nds). Not a massive number of wins, but still an overall profit of $5.14 – compared to cash games not fantastic for 5 hours of on and off pokering, but still +ve, and fun, so whatever.

I’m mainly pissed off at the very last tournament – I was chip leader all the way up to the HU stage, and even to the point that I had half the total chips on the bubble, and then on HU I was the chip leader by 20k to his 7k. Somehow I still managed to hand them all over giving him the win.

  • Penultimate hand;
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    $1.00+$0.20
    2 players

    Stacks:
    BTN (7461)
    Hero (BB) (19539)

    Blinds: 200/400 Ante 25

    Pre-flop: (650, 2 players) Hero is BB T Q
    BTN raises to 1,200, Hero goes all-in 19,514, BTN goes all-in 6,236

    Flop: 6 T 7 (27,000, 2 players)

    Turn: J (27,000, 2 players)

    River: 5 (27,000, 2 players)

    Final Pot: 14,922
    Hero shows: T Q
    BTN shows: J T

    Hero wins 12,078 ( lost -7,436 )
    BTN wins 14,922 ( won +7,486 )

  • final hand;
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    $1.00+$0.20
    2 players

    Stacks:
    Hero (BTN) (12078)
    BB (14922)

    Blinds: 200/400 Ante 25

    Pre-flop: (650, 2 players) Hero is BTN 5 5
    Hero raises to 1,200, BB goes all-in 14,897, Hero goes all-in 10,853

    Flop: Q T Q (27,000, 2 players)

    Turn: 3 (27,000, 2 players)

    River: A (27,000, 2 players)
    BB says “gg”

    Final Pot: 24,156
    Hero shows: 5 5
    BB shows: Q 9

    BB wins 27,000 ( won +12,103 )
    Hero lost -12,053

I need to figure out if they were good shoves/calls or not. TBH I prefer to play the HU stage without too many of these – I’d rather see a few flops and whittle down their chips over a coin flip shove…

Going Further – All-In EV

Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

Taking my self-analysis further, have I been just plain unlucky.

Hold’em Manager has an all-in EV plot so you can see how you did compared to how well you should have done (Sklansky bucks effectively – if you have 60% chance of winning the pot the calculation gives you 60% of the pot).

PokerTracker doesn’t have this unfortunately, but I found this little java app which queries the PokerTracker database to do the same thing.

The results were;

found 324 headsup allin situations
won: 152 lost: 158 tied: 14
average potsize: 7.01$
average ev: 0.4838
money won: 1031.10$
money expected (based on allin equity): 1016.44$
money difference: +14.66$

which basically means I haven’t been lucky nor unlucky. Pretty much it’s on the button.

Here are the charts;

my results

all-in

in a perfect world (Sklansky bucks);

output

What it really means is that my all-in decisions have been bad ones. The fact that the end of the day winnings are so low means that I’m going all-in when the odds of me winning are too low.

Showdown Leak

Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

I’ve mentioned in previous posts that I believe my leak is that I go to showdown light. Too often I believe that the other guy is bluffing, and consequently too often I end up paying the price.

I’m not sure how to pinpoint that this is my big leak, but here’s a little experiment I did on PokerTracker;

First, filtering out all the hands where I went to showdown;

wtsd

and now filtering so that it’s showdown hands only;

showdown_only

The amounts add up to give my current $230 in the red.

So what does it mean? It looks like ‘skill’ at going to showdown has always been poor. Meanwhile in hands where I didn’t go to showdown started to take off after 5500 hands – could this match up to where I really started to understand cbetting, raising not limping etc? Hard to say when the x scale is in hands rather than date. The change from 10NL to 2NL appear in the same place on both charts (ie where it goes more smooth 2/3 along), so the overall time scale is probably relative to my all time chart. If that’s the case then the upturn does correspond my change to ‘proper’ poker play rather than limping random uneducated donk play.

It’s certainly a dramatic difference. I wonder what most people have here?

OK, let’s break it down street by street;

1st, hands that don’t see the flop. Not too surprising here – my pre-TwoPlusTwo days show a steady decline, probably from limping into pots which I then folded to a raise. Once I learnt to open-raise into a pot this went away;

notseeflop

2nd, hands that saw the flop but not the turn. What I expected really – I cbet the flop a lot, and fairly aggressively. Again it turns on once I discovered 2p2. However, am I doing this too much – should I be letting more hands play further streets to get better value?

sawflopnotturn

3rd, saw turn but not river. Ignoring the pre-2p2 rise it looks like I don’t gain much here. Why is that? I’m not sure, I need to thnk about this. Just what should it look like?

sawturnnotriver

Beats

Wednesday, January 7th, 2009

I was looking through my old hands, mainly because of this thread on 2p2 which discussed shoving AA and somehow turned into a brew. So I wondered how well my bullets had stood up and went into PokerTracker to see, and they’ve won 88% of the time with reasonable profit.

However, I looked at AKs, and while it had won 67%, overall it’s turned a loss! Looking through the hands, this was the worst loss, but at the same time – WTF?

$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
4 players

Stacks:
CO ($9.85)
BTN ($11.00)
Hero (SB) ($12.45)
BB ($14.05)

Pre-flop: ($0.15, 4 players) Hero is SB K A
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, BB raises to $2.40, Hero calls $2

Flop: 5 J 6 ($4.80, 2 players)
Hero goes all-in $10.05, BB calls $10.05

Turn: T ($24.90, 2 players)

River: 4 ($24.90, 2 players)

Final Pot: $24.90
Hero shows: K A
BB shows: 4 5

BB wins $23.90 ( won +$11.45 )
Hero lost -$12.45

I’m going to defend my all-in action as a semi-bluff, and by rights it should have worked. Why did he call with bottom pair! F*-in rogged….

Edit: Ok, now I’m thinking about it – what would he put me on? Perhaps he figures that I’m being an idiot and on a draw (which I am). So I have a 2/3 chance of missing that draw. He has a hand with some (albeit weak) showdown value, so if I miss the draw he should win. Perhaps the odds are in his favour.

If I’m only drawing that is. Maybe my actions are more likely someone with an overpair (QQ+) who’s protecting his hand against a draw?

oh, I’ve no idea….

Down, But Enjoyed It

Friday, December 12th, 2008

Came away $1.46 down today, but despite that had one of the most fun sessions in ages.

It was mainly fun because there was a lot of action for a change. I hit a few straights, and some decent AK TPTK hands. I two tabled, and one table was people I’d never seen before, and they didn’t have much of a clue, while the other was full of lunch break regulars.

I was crushed by AA twice, and that made all the losses up. It was also by the same guy – ReeltorRB, and what’s worse was on the second hand he put in a big preflop raise and I actually said ‘again?’ on the chat box, only to chuck in my chips to be proved right!

I think part of the reason that I’m not feeling too bad about this is that reeltor was $10 down in my pokertracker stats (over 560 hands), and he was on a total heater at this table. If it wasn’t for those two hands I would have come away $3 up as well, so I was feeling like I was winning (despite the end score being down).

It’s also our works xmas meal too, so maybe that’s another reason not to feel scrooge-like as well :-)

All time Results (kind of)

Wednesday, November 26th, 2008

I’ve been posting daily results so far, which is a bit results orientated of me. Really I should be considering my overall play, and even then it shouldn’t be dwelling on $$$. Of course I’d be lying to say I can do that, but it’s something to aim for.

Anyway, I decided my (potential) loyal readership should have someway of seeing just how well (badly) I’m playing, and so I’ve created an All Time Results page (there’s a link in the menu to the right), and I’ll keep updating the content on that page.

At the moment it’s just a graph (that seems to be upside down, surely?), but I’ll also add my stats there. I think that while I’m a lowly microstakes player I don’t have too much to hide. It’s not as if I’m likely to bump into many of you at the tables when there’s 10′s of thousands of other microstakes players out there.

Once I’m a nosebleed stakes player I’ll remove the stats tables naturally ;-)

Edit: Oh, I ought to mention that it’s not my entire history of poker playing – yes, i have lost a lot more money than that! I initially started out on Full Tilt, and over the period of a year lost two deposits of $50 each. I then moved to Titan poker to get the Stox deal and so far have lost one deposit of $100, and am currently halfway through a new deposit of $40. also my PokerTracker evaluation version ran out on my laptop, so what you see there is my results just from work. I’ll merge it all together when I buy a copy of PokerTracker.

What’s really worrying is that it took me a whole year to lost $100 on FTP, while on Titan I lost it in a couple of months :-( Clearly learning to play poker is bad for your wealth…

Edit2: Oh yeah, FTP I was one tabling, Titan I’m 3 or 4 tabling. That figures…

Not A Lot Going On

Tuesday, November 11th, 2008

Not had a chance to play for a few days. Over the weekend I travelled to Oxford to see a friend and have a bonfire party. Lunch breaks have been taken up with trips to the bank sorting out all sorts of crap, but that’s all sorted now, hopefully tomorrow I can get back to my losing streak :-)

I’ve been thinking about whether I’m doing my CBets appropriately. The rules I’ve set myself are DON’T CBet when;

  • OOP when multiway
  • When the board’s very wet (esp when I’m OOP)
  • When I’m looking to draw
  • When I don’t have any overcards or top pair

However I’m not convinced that I’m following these rules, but I’ve not been able to find an easy way to check with PokerTracker. I can go through each hand individually, but really I’d like to filter on wet boards, and see if I’m CBetting too often.

PokerTracker can’t do this by default, but it does offer you access to the cards on the board, so if I can develop some rules that determines the ‘wetness’ of the board it may be possible.

So far I’ve come up with a table that ranks cards with how close the connectors are and also how many of the cards are same suit;

The two left hand columns are the gaps between connectors, so 46K has gaps of 1 and >3, 345 has gaps of 0 & 0. The top headings are suits, and so 46K is gaps of 1 & >3 with 2 same suit, so is rank 10.5. The lower the number the ‘wetter’ the board.

The values of the rankings are arbitary, but if I can put these into PT’s report rules thingy it should work (big ‘if’). A lot of effort but better than working at the day job ;-)


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