Taking my self-analysis further, have I been just plain unlucky.

Hold’em Manager has an all-in EV plot so you can see how you did compared to how well you should have done (Sklansky bucks effectively – if you have 60% chance of winning the pot the calculation gives you 60% of the pot).

PokerTracker doesn’t have this unfortunately, but I found this little java app which queries the PokerTracker database to do the same thing.

The results were;

found 324 headsup allin situations
won: 152 lost: 158 tied: 14
average potsize: 7.01$
average ev: 0.4838
money won: 1031.10$
money expected (based on allin equity): 1016.44$
money difference: +14.66$

which basically means I haven’t been lucky nor unlucky. Pretty much it’s on the button.

Here are the charts;

my results

in a perfect world (Sklansky bucks);

What it really means is that my all-in decisions have been bad ones. The fact that the end of the day winnings are so low means that I’m going all-in when the odds of me winning are too low.

Not had a chance to play for a few days. Over the weekend I travelled to Oxford to see a friend and have a bonfire party. Lunch breaks have been taken up with trips to the bank sorting out all sorts of crap, but that’s all sorted now, hopefully tomorrow I can get back to my losing streak

I’ve been thinking about whether I’m doing my CBets appropriately. The rules I’ve set myself are DON’T CBet when;

• OOP when multiway
• When the board’s very wet (esp when I’m OOP)
• When I’m looking to draw
• When I don’t have any overcards or top pair

However I’m not convinced that I’m following these rules, but I’ve not been able to find an easy way to check with PokerTracker. I can go through each hand individually, but really I’d like to filter on wet boards, and see if I’m CBetting too often.

PokerTracker can’t do this by default, but it does offer you access to the cards on the board, so if I can develop some rules that determines the ‘wetness’ of the board it may be possible.

So far I’ve come up with a table that ranks cards with how close the connectors are and also how many of the cards are same suit;

The two left hand columns are the gaps between connectors, so 46K has gaps of 1 and >3, 345 has gaps of 0 & 0. The top headings are suits, and so 46K is gaps of 1 & >3 with 2 same suit, so is rank 10.5. The lower the number the ‘wetter’ the board.

The values of the rankings are arbitary, but if I can put these into PT’s report rules thingy it should work (big ‘if’). A lot of effort but better than working at the day job