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Struggle

Sunday, August 15th, 2010

Just had a game I was proud to have won, even though villain was a drooler he hit so often, and so big, that I really had to cling on in there;

Started out ok with a flopped 2pair OOP which fortunately he did all the betting for me (in hindsight I was passive, but it was early on and he bet pot on flop & turn, so caution was prob best anyway).

Next hand I had QQ IP, he massively 3bet me to 200 so it was an easy shove. He called with 93s!!! Maybe it’s his lucky hand or something, but since the board went 99A43 for a FH maybe there’s something in that.

He then continued to amaze me by chasing a gutshot down – unfortunately when he hit it also gave me a weaker straight;

  • Absurdly chased draw
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    Pokerstars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (1,720)
    Hero (1,280)

    Blinds: 10/20

    Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is BB 7spades poker card 10spades poker card
    SB calls 10, Hero checks

    Flop: 10hearts poker card 6diamonds poker card 9diamonds poker card (40, 2 players)
    Hero bets 40, SB calls 40

    Turn: 4clubs poker card (120, 2 players)
    Hero bets 80, SB calls 80

    River: 8diamonds poker card (280, 2 players)
    Hero bets 200, SB raises to 400, Hero calls 200

    Final Pot: 1,080
    Hero shows
    7spades poker card 10spades poker card
    SB shows a straight, Seven to Jack
    Jclubs poker card 7hearts poker card

    SB wins 1,080 (net +540)

    Hero lost 540

Next hand was my fault though

  • should have respected his raises
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,120)
    Hero (880)

    Blinds: 10/20

    Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is BB 10spades poker card 8spades poker card
    SB calls 10, Hero checks

    Flop: 2diamonds poker card 8diamonds poker card 2spades poker card (40, 2 players)
    Hero bets 40, SB calls 40

    Turn: Ahearts poker card (120, 2 players)
    Hero bets 100, SB raises to 200, Hero calls 100

    River: 3clubs poker card (520, 2 players)
    Hero checks, SB bets 300, Hero calls 300

    Final Pot: 1,120
    Hero shows
    10spades poker card 8spades poker card
    SB shows two pair, Aces and Deuces
    Adiamonds poker card Qspades poker card

    SB wins 1,120 (net +560)

    Hero lost 560

. Trouble was it left me with only 300 chips, and this is where I’m pleased with myself for not giving up;

  • 1st double up
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,625)
    Hero (375)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is BB Jdiamonds poker card Aspades poker card
    SB calls 15, Hero goes all-in 375, SB calls 345

    Flop: 4spades poker card 8clubs poker card Ahearts poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: Jclubs poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: 7clubs poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 750
    Hero shows two pair, Aces and Jacks
    Jdiamonds poker card Aspades poker card
    SB shows high card Ace
    Khearts poker card Qspades poker card

    Hero wins 750 (net +375)

    SB lost 375

  • 2nd double up
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,220)
    Hero (780)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is BB 5clubs poker card 6spades poker card
    SB calls 15, Hero checks

    Flop: 2spades poker card 7clubs poker card 8clubs poker card (60, 2 players)
    Hero checks, SB checks

    Turn: 4diamonds poker card (60, 2 players)
    Hero bets 60, SB raises to 300, Hero goes all-in 750, SB calls 450

    River: 2diamonds poker card (1,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 1,560
    Hero shows a straight, Four to Eight
    5clubs poker card 6spades poker card
    SB shows two pair, Nines and Deuces
    9diamonds poker card 9hearts poker card

    Hero wins 1,560 (net +780)

    SB lost 780

And then the final hand – he shoved when I had KQo. TBH I hate calling shoves with this hand – I ought to stove it, but it never seems to hold up that well. Hmm, so maybe looking back I shouldn’t be so proud of this game since it ends on a flip when really I could have beat him by playing solidly. He was 100/100 and clearly chased down crap, so there was no need to flip – I think I was irrationally seeing him as a ‘lucky’ player, and if you’re going to pitch yourself against random bingo hands you might as well do it in a single preflop shove. Oh well, maybe not so great, but I won, and that’s what counts :-D

  • final hand
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    Hero (1,560)
    BB (1,440)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is SB Qspades poker card Kdiamonds poker card
    Hero raises to 90, BB goes all-in 1,440, Hero calls 1,350

    Flop: 7hearts poker card Qdiamonds poker card Jspades poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: 3spades poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: 10diamonds poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 2,880
    Hero shows a pair of Queens
    Qspades poker card Kdiamonds poker card
    BB shows a pair of Threes
    3diamonds poker card Aspades poker card

    Hero wins 2,880 (net +1,440)

    BB lost 1,440

Update: Yep, stoved KQ for all-in pre’s and it doesn’t look great – 40% against a 10% range. It’s not until the opponent’s calling range has opened up to 20% does it get to 50-50. Filtering my hands on HEM shows the same thing, 40% winrate (not massive sample though). Conclusion – shoving over a 3bet is probably ok (because of FE) although flatting the 3bet is ok too (I guess), but calling a shove is iffy unless you know opponent is a moron or stacks really short.

Update II: lol, I’m going to ignore my HEM stats, sample size is just way too small – I was checking win rates of other hands and all non-A broadways do < 40% while all A+broadway is > 40% with the exception of AKs, which is a horrendous 16%. If it can be that far out then it’s obvious I need loads and loads more hands before anything relevant can be made of things (obvious really I suppose).

Return to Form?

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Ok, so my last post was whingy and negative. Really though I’m feeling way more positive about my game, albeit only at the $5 stakes :-)

So since I feel I can beat the $5s, I might as well play 4mans+ and start to rebuild the roll a bit. So far, so good;

They’re regular speed, which is why there’s not many of them. Plus quite a few of the games have taken over 40 minutes to play (that’s a total of 6 hours playing time there) which is really slow.

Anyway, 105% ROI is good enough I think ;-)

I might switch up to $10 4mans tomorrow – not rolled for it really, but I can’t be arsed to follow strict BRM when I’m practically busto anyway. Either I re-emerge anew, or I redeposit…

FFS

Tuesday, August 10th, 2010

Watched a PrimordialAA vid the other day and tried to think what I’d do before he made his move. Almost everything matched, with a couple of exceptions where he shoved over a few things that I would have been nittier about (although one push was just crazy – he just took a big pot of someone and figured they’d be tilted enough to call with anything, so he shoved pre with Q7o. Fair enough having the read that they’d call with anything, but Q7o is a 50% flip against ATC, let alone a shove calling range, so didn’t quite get that one).

Anyway, that fired me up again to try regular husngs to see if I ought to be winning. My BR is pretty bad right now, so this is just $5s, and it went like this;

Game 1: First hand dealt KK – money goes in, villain has TT & my hand holds. Nice start!

Game 2: Straightforward, picked up several 200 chip pots, then on 20th hand hit trips on turn & finish him off.

Game 3: V passive opponent, hard to get value out hands. However on 106th hand get QQ and manage to get him all-in with his FD + gutshot. He hits the gutshot. First game lost.

Game 4: 38th hand my AA’s are cracked. Second game lost.

Game 5: Hand 6 my 88 go in against villain’s 99. Third game lost.

Game 6: 3rd hand, my TPTK (AJ) goes all the way against his TPWK and I’m back up to breakeven.

Game 7: AA cracked again. Another loss.

Game 8: Tried to push villain off a hand but he clings on with his 74o & hits his OSED which gets paid off since I hit my K on the river. Perhaps this was my fault.

Game 9: My 44′s go in against 88′s with expected results.

And then I run out of steam. The HEM chart has only 9 games on it, but it makes me feel that if I carry on it’ll just keep plummeting. Why is it all so different to the start of this year?

Triple Bad Beat

Monday, June 14th, 2010

Was just listening to pokerstatic, and they were talking about a hand on Pokerstars’ The Big Game where, in their opinion, Daniel Negreanu, Phil Laak, and Tony G were completely classless over a hand that really kicked Phil Hellmuth in the nuts;

I didn’t have the video feed on the pokerstatic podcast so it was a bit annoying – the presenters just went on and on about it not being a slowroll blah blah, but it made me want to see the hand.

Poor Phil H – to have a hand that crushes your opponent 85-15% and then be generous enough to run it 4 times for the guy, only to see it beat 3/4 times. Enough to make anyone cry, but the treatment he gets off the other players is beyond the pale imo.

Heads Up Cash Working Well

Monday, June 14th, 2010

The heads up cash games are really going well. I’m not entirely sure whether my winrate is good, bad, mediocre or what since the HH won’t import into HEM, but at the very least I’m showing a profit.

Yesterday for instance I bought in short ($10) into a NL20 game, and after an hour my opponent finally gave up – my stack was $32. That was an hour of chipping away without any huge shoves. Is that how it should be? Normally my game has far more variance than that, with a few more shoves causing some big stack sized swings along the way. Seems like a very slow way of winning (an hour of $20 husngs could easily be $100 on a good day), although I should remember that long term my crazy swingy style has generally lost, despite the epic 4-5 buy-in session wins!

I also realised that traffic numbers on these sites is very misleading. For instance I said the other day how EverLeaf was showing only a few thousand players while Pokerstars had a massive 200 thousand. It turns out that PokerStars’ numbers are vastly inflated – the real number is more like 80,000 (according to pokerscout). Still a lot, but not quite the same wow factor. The difference in numbers is that the 200,000 included play chip tables, plus players signed in but not actively playing

120,000 inactive/play chip players sounds a lot. Maybe I’m still not seeing the real numbers here…

Update: Just noticed the latest HEM release supports EverLeaf. I’ll upgrade when I get home. I noticed the that HH text doesn’t include rake taken from the pot, so hopefully HEM is figuring it out somehow…

Giving Up Gambling

Friday, May 14th, 2010

My downswing continued painfully, moving past the -$300 point. That’s a third of my bankroll in just under two weeks, so it was starting to look desperate.

I know what my problem is, and have really known it all along TBH. I run good, get confident, and then start to embrace the fun side of poker – the gambling!

So I chase draws, make big cock swinging hero calls, thin value bets when I have no value, and generally discard the fold button. All with the obvious consequences.

At the weekend I buckled down and started to squash these urges, and I managed to stall the downswing. It’s not turned round, but the latter half of this month has been breakeven which is better than before.

I’ve been reading 2p2 intensely, going over my HH, having other people go over my HHs, talking strat on AIM, and generally becoming an obsessive poker bore. It’s feeling good too.

After a long discussion last night with Yegor (ok, most of it was laughing about roseeker’s downfall) I decided to drop right down to $10 games and set a strong volume goal. I’ve currently 240 games at $10 with a ROI of 13%. I’m going to play another 260 to bring it to 500 games and see if I can nail my game down to a cold impassionate cyborg crushing of these $10 morons. No more hero calls :-D

So far so good, although I’d forgotten how bizarre $10 games can be. For $20 and $30 games the players have become far more rational about their lines, and betsizing is at least in relation to the pot size. $10s it’s still kinda crazy. For example I had 72o in a limped pot. The flop had been checked back so it was a $40 pot on a TJQK board. Villain fires out a bet of $200. Somewhat obvious what to do.

I’m still squishing some gambool tendencies though – same villain 3bet me pre while I had KJo. Against him I felt a call would be ok, but something in me said that he was just going to jam the flop with his A rags if I did. So I 4bet, which KJo isn’t really good enough for, and he shoved. So I thought ‘whatever’ and called to see that he did indeed have A6o. Here was the difficulty of $10 – he had no idea that a 4bet looks really strong and he was supposed to fold A6o. But that’s what we all say in these positions – ‘how could he shove with that!’. Ultimately these are mistakes which make us money. Anyway, neither of us improved, I went down to $900 and then had to fight another 10 minutes in order to finally win.

When ABC Doesn’t Help

Sunday, April 25th, 2010

I woke up early this morning for some reason, so obv fired up the laptop for some pokerage. A few days a go I had one of those perfect sessions where I won a couple of 4man $20s and a couple of $30s for a nice profit of $180. Only 4 matches, yet since the hourly was five times my day job rate it gave me happy daydreams of being the baller poker pro. The next couple of days however reminded me how meaningless a winning streak of 4 games is as I failed to win anything at all. It’s lucky two of those winning games were 4mans as I’m still showing a profit from that.

Anyway, the point of that partial brag is that I’m deluding myself with low volume. So today’s intention is to keep hammering away and see how it goes, even if it’s a losing streak (unless I get really tilted obv).

I also didn’t intend to blog this early in the morning either, but the first match was interesting. Here’s the match for anyone who has nothing better to do;

My opponent played 2p2 ABC poker all the way – 3bb raises, roughly 70% hands on button, 30% OOP, 3bet reasonably, folded to most 3bets but not all etc. He didn’t seem to tilt, just kept going. In other words he didn’t seem to do anything wrong at all, apart from perhaps being unimaginative.

The game however went my way. In fact I was on the winning side throughout – a couple of times we went back to equal stacks but I never had to come back from behind. Was that because I had an edge? No idea, it’s doubtful…

I sharkscoped him and it turned out he’d been grinding mostly $5s and $10 with some stabs at $20+. After some success initially ($450+) he’s now a losing player (-$150).

I don’t get it – playing a solid game doesn’t mean you’ll win? Have I just been lucky and could easily become this guy (my game count is still less than his initial success stage)?

btw, in before NMIHU,ES… (that means you Yegor :-) )

Update: Hammering away seems to work :-D

ok, still only 14 games but that’s better than 4! Plus my BR is over $1k at last! Guess I have to try some $50s now and go back to scared money :-)


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