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Fold or Call?

Friday, August 20th, 2010

Moments away from going busto now (<$100 left), so to stretch it out a bit longer I decided to play NL5 rush poker with the intention of working on my 6max ABC poker. The idea being to tighten up a bit (I’m too much SLAG and not enough TAG), fold to big raises more and see how a less bluffy/more valuebetting me might do.

So far so good, more or less. Had one bad beat where my KT 2pair hand went all-in against their T8 2pair, and of course an 8 rolled out on the river – however need to put in loads more hands so those beats merge into the noise.

Anyway, if I’m supposed to be playing totally ABC, then what’s the move on this hand. Assume no history or stats (it is rush poker after all);

$0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem

6 Players

Stacks:
UTG ($6.94)
UTG+1 ($7.17)
Hero ($5.75)
BTN ($6.92)
SB ($4.65)
BB ($5.79)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07, 6 players) Hero is CO 8spades poker card 8diamonds poker card
UTG raises to $0.10, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.10, 1 fold, SB calls $0.08, 1 fold

Flop: 9hearts poker card 4spades poker card 7hearts poker card ($0.35, 3 players)
SB bets $0.05, UTG calls $0.05, Hero calls $0.05

Turn: 2clubs poker card ($0.50, 3 players)
SB bets $0.50, UTG folds, Hero ?

Super Turbo HUSNGs

Saturday, August 7th, 2010

Harder work than I imagined, plus it pushes the tilt buttons a bit. This is two hours from this morning (1 hour of actual play, the rest made up of making coffee and having to restart Full Tilt after several crashes – one of which I managed to get back into the game with 200 chips & come back to win :-) );

28 games, 14 won, 14 lost.

What have I learnt so far (from only 30 or so games ;-) )? Being so shortstacked 3bb open raises and 3betting should be obviously poor plays, yet I’m finding the players who do this very difficult to beat. Firstly you’re folding a lot to them so losing plenty of blinds & your 2bb openraises, secondly if you do call to see a flop it’s really difficult to continue without getting committed (maybe my 4bet shove range is too tight, not that these hands come along enough to make that much difference). Of course they’re in the same situation (which is why it’s so bad on their part), but if they keep the initiative it’s hard to play against. Ideally you want an idiot who bloats the pot like this and then plays fit or fold postflop, but finding out if they’re like this can be an expensive process (esp if they hit a hand, which can be any piece of the board – expect them to call down A2 when they hit the 2).

However fortunately at these stakes the majority of players are still calling on the button pre, with plenty of random shoves. A min-reraise pre is either an A or a PP, and I’m almost tempted to start folding to these since I seem to be getting into trouble despite the tiny call to make (for similar reasons to above). The random shoves are often really wide, although usually contain an A of course, but I’d seen stuff like T6o as well.

So no idea on a strategy yet, other than play the usual endgame stuff (not Nash btw, which is a ridiculous endgame approach). Never giving up hope is a good start, it’s remarkable how often you can come back from < 200 chips.

Perfectly read hands (aka hero donkey calls);

No Limit Holdem Tournament

2 Players

$5 + $0.15 Heads Up Sit & Go

Stacks:
Hero (470)
BB (530)

Blinds: 15/30

Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is SB 5spades poker card Kclubs poker card
Hero raises to 60, BB calls 30

Flop: 9diamonds poker card Qdiamonds poker card 7spades poker card (120, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: 9clubs poker card (120, 2 players)
BB bets 60, Hero calls 60

River: 9spades poker card (240, 2 players)
BB bets 90, Hero calls 90

Final Pot: 420
BB shows
10clubs poker card 4spades poker card
Hero shows three of a kind, Nines
5spades poker card Kclubs poker card

Hero wins 420 (net +210)

BB lost 210

No Limit Holdem Tournament

2 Players

$5 + $0.15 Heads Up Sit & Go

Stacks:
Hero (480)
BB (520)

Blinds: 10/20

Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is SB 4clubs poker card Aspades poker card
Hero raises to 40, BB calls 20

Flop: 10clubs poker card 6hearts poker card 2hearts poker card (80, 2 players)
BB bets 120, Hero calls 120

Turn: 2clubs poker card (320, 2 players)
BB bets 60, Hero calls 60

River: 5diamonds poker card (440, 2 players)
BB bets 190, Hero calls 190

Final Pot: 820
Hero shows a pair of Twos
4clubs poker card Aspades poker card
BB shows
Kclubs poker card 4diamonds poker card

Hero wins 820 (net +410)

BB lost 410

April

Thursday, April 29th, 2010

Best month ever;

Start of the month moved up to $30′s, and by the end I’d moved up to $50s! :-D   It’s borderline on the $50s really – I think I’ve even dropped back under the threshold already, but it’s all very close. The only thing I’m disappointed about is volume, even though it’s only a few games short of previous months – it is my biggest weakness, and no matter how much I moan about it I still struggle to improve.

The tiny bit of cash I played was just for the Full Tilt  Take 2 promotion, and TBH it was a mistake and I’m thinking that I’ll not take up a promotion that requires cash play again;

Notice the blue line taking a jump at the end – that’s the $25 bonus. The whole reason for playing cash in the first place!  Admittedly the biggest loss in that graph was not while I was trying to clear the bonus (which only took 5 minutes of play each morning) – it was just one  stupid night where I decided to have a quick spin at nl25 and it went really bad! Clearly not my game though.

Final total with rakeback & bonuses = $482, although I also cashed out $120 to pay for some bits & pieces, including husng coaching. So far I’ve only had 2 HH’s reviewed and not a sweat session yet. Taking it fairly slowly as I want to digest properly what I get back before paying out for more. So far so good though, and I’m very pleased with what I’ve got so far.

On Sunday I’ve the SCOOP tournament paid for by the $215 ticket I won at the blogger’s championship. Really really hoping I don’t crash out before cashing, but it wouldn’t surprise me. Nevertheless if I do cash it’ll put a nice margin to play those $50′s with, so I’ve got my fingers crossed.

Money Not Chips

Wednesday, April 14th, 2010

I’ve withdrawn some money!

Just a little ($120) – that’s the first time since I had to take everything out to pay credit card bills and restarted from scratch. It’s not something I really want to do since every step backwards on the BR is time lost in getting to higher stakes, but there was a couple of things I wanted to get. Since they were poker related I thought it’d be reasonable to use some of my BR for them.

First thing was a HH review by a coach. ChicagoRy posts on 2p2 a lot and seems a smart guy. He plays $100s, has a good record and can certainly teach me something. The HH review was $40, and he was clear and it all made sense what he was saying – however to get the most out of it I’m going to have to send him at least one more and then maybe a sweat session. One HH review isn’t going to revolutionise my game (I guess it’s like tennis lessons – get an individual lesson and it costs about £20. It’ll improve your serve a little, but won’t turn you into Federer instantly). Several HH and a session will add up to a fair bit of $$$ unfortunately, but the time seems about right. If the rest of the week goes well I’ll send him a second HH and take it a step at a time. If the rest of this week bombs, then it’ll have to wait.

Second thing was Omaha holdem manager. A bit of a frivolous buy, but during the times when I don’t want to gamble too heavily (ie reg peak times of the US afternoon) I’ve been knocking about with $1 PLO husngs. Cheapest way of playing PLO heads up! Postflop I’m getting more confident, but I’m still clueless about preflop (is it ever worth 3betting?). My opponents seem more clueless though, so it’s hard to know if I’m thinking clearly or if they’re just spazzing out;

Pot Limit Omaha Tournament
2 Players

$1 + $0.10 Heads Up Sit & Go

Stacks:
Hero (1,620)
BB (1,380)

Blinds: 10/20

Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players)

Hero is SB Khearts poker card 8spades poker card 3clubs poker card 9diamonds poker card
Hero raises to 40, BB calls 20

Flop: 6diamonds poker card 5hearts poker card 7clubs poker card (80, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 80, BB calls 80

Turn: Jclubs poker card (240, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 240, BB raises to 480, Hero goes all-in 1,500, BB goes all-in 780

River: 5diamonds poker card (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: 3,000
Hero shows a straight, Nine high
Khearts poker card 8spades poker card 3clubs poker card 9diamonds poker card
BB shows a straight, Eight high
Adiamonds poker card 8diamonds poker card 3diamonds poker card 4diamonds poker card

Hero wins 3,000 (net +1,380)

BB lost 1,380

lol, to be fair when I chose that HH (mainly just to test if the convertor worked) I didn’t realise he had a straight. Maybe not such a spaz after all…

Update

Saturday, April 10th, 2010

I’m now happily entrenched playing $30s, and so far this is proving to be a big month;

So much so that my BR is about to tip over $1k which is a massive milestone for me. When that happens I should probably move to $50s with some confidence even though it only just meets the 20 buy-in level. The main reason I should feel confident is that I discovered the ‘Graph Buy-ins’ option in HEM and it shows a really consistent win rate for my husngs;

That seems to hide the fact that my $20 games were exactly breakeven so maybe it doesn’t mean that much. However I’ve not noticed the $30 games to be particularly scary.

I also played my first pot limit Omaha husng today (for a massive $1!). I won, but to be honest I didn’t have a clue to what I was doing. I just have no feel whatsoever as to what a strong hand is. I thought it might be a good route into playing PLO HU cash, but the traffic is very low so maybe it’s not worthwhile.

Happy Easter Monday!

Monday, April 5th, 2010

Whoohoo – the holiday players are out in force!

Half way through that epic streak I started getting jitters about continuing since I didn’t want to break it. That just shows how I need to bolster my confidence – when the player pool is so weak a real winning player wouldn’t even stop to pee.

So I told myself to just keep opening the tables and carry on until it gets bad. As it was it didn’t really turn bad – even the regs who sat me lost. Finally a spewy player beat me (due to a shove called by me with AQ (my spew!) and then a suckout where he paired his kicker). One loss after 8 games in a row shouldn’t mean it’s all over, but I’m a bit played out now I think. I’m going to play tennis in a couple of hours, so that’ll balance the day nicely (as long as I win).

Security

Sunday, April 4th, 2010

I have recently been called an infamous luckbox by some dodgy russian. I would just like to say for the record that hands like the following only occur once every couple of games – how outrageous to call me a luckbox!

No Limit Holdem Tournament
2 Players

$20 + $1 Heads Up Sit & Go

Stacks:
SB Hero (1,885)
BB Villain (1,115)

Blinds: 25/50

Pre-Flop: (75, 2 players) Hero is SB 4diamonds poker card Jclubs poker card
Hero raises to 100, Villain calls 50

Flop: 6hearts poker card 4hearts poker card 10diamonds poker card (200, 2 players)
Villain checks, Hero bets 200, Villain calls 200

Turn: Khearts poker card (600, 2 players)
Villain checks, Hero goes all-in 1,585, Villain goes all-in 815

Hero shows 4diamonds poker card Jclubs poker card
Villain shows Kdiamonds poker card Jdiamonds poker card

Two cards left in the deck that can help our unfortunate hero!

River: 4clubs poker card (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: 3,000
Hero has three of a kind, Fours
Villain has two pair, Kings and Fours

Hero wins 3,000 (net +1,115)

Villain lost 1,115

I have made my feelings clear that all-in EV graphs are misleading and erroneous, but maybe I’m somewhat biased – I checked my lifetime history, and for cash I’m $340 over expected $ and for husngs I’m $235 over. If I didn’t believe that those calcs were complete and utter tosh then I’d be deluding myself that I can play poker (so I know which delusion is the healthiest!).

Other news – finally made 5k Full Tilt points so that I could order their security key. Seems to have taken ages to make those points (I think I threw away loads on big MTT satellites before deciding that I wanted a key). While I haven’t got vast amounts of dolares in my account it is slowly increasing. At some point this year it’s quite likely to exceed what’s actually in my regular bank account (British indebted society sucks), and if I’m going to get all paranoid about my personal account being online, then obviously I should take all possible steps to secure my poker accounts.

Now I just have to wait 6 months for it to arrive.



Forum

Re: Forum is main site now by yegor_kgb 13:14, Aug 03 2010
Forum is main site now by Meteoric 21:27, Jul 30 2010
Re: StoxEV by Simon Debanks 09:25, May 07 2010
Re: StoxEV by Meteoric 20:05, Apr 29 2010
Re: StoxEV by yegor_kgb 08:30, Apr 28 2010
StoxEV by Simon Debanks 21:53, Apr 27 2010
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