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Struggle

Sunday, August 15th, 2010

Just had a game I was proud to have won, even though villain was a drooler he hit so often, and so big, that I really had to cling on in there;

Started out ok with a flopped 2pair OOP which fortunately he did all the betting for me (in hindsight I was passive, but it was early on and he bet pot on flop & turn, so caution was prob best anyway).

Next hand I had QQ IP, he massively 3bet me to 200 so it was an easy shove. He called with 93s!!! Maybe it’s his lucky hand or something, but since the board went 99A43 for a FH maybe there’s something in that.

He then continued to amaze me by chasing a gutshot down – unfortunately when he hit it also gave me a weaker straight;

  • Absurdly chased draw
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    Pokerstars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (1,720)
    Hero (1,280)

    Blinds: 10/20

    Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is BB 7spades poker card 10spades poker card
    SB calls 10, Hero checks

    Flop: 10hearts poker card 6diamonds poker card 9diamonds poker card (40, 2 players)
    Hero bets 40, SB calls 40

    Turn: 4clubs poker card (120, 2 players)
    Hero bets 80, SB calls 80

    River: 8diamonds poker card (280, 2 players)
    Hero bets 200, SB raises to 400, Hero calls 200

    Final Pot: 1,080
    Hero shows
    7spades poker card 10spades poker card
    SB shows a straight, Seven to Jack
    Jclubs poker card 7hearts poker card

    SB wins 1,080 (net +540)

    Hero lost 540

Next hand was my fault though

  • should have respected his raises
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,120)
    Hero (880)

    Blinds: 10/20

    Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is BB 10spades poker card 8spades poker card
    SB calls 10, Hero checks

    Flop: 2diamonds poker card 8diamonds poker card 2spades poker card (40, 2 players)
    Hero bets 40, SB calls 40

    Turn: Ahearts poker card (120, 2 players)
    Hero bets 100, SB raises to 200, Hero calls 100

    River: 3clubs poker card (520, 2 players)
    Hero checks, SB bets 300, Hero calls 300

    Final Pot: 1,120
    Hero shows
    10spades poker card 8spades poker card
    SB shows two pair, Aces and Deuces
    Adiamonds poker card Qspades poker card

    SB wins 1,120 (net +560)

    Hero lost 560

. Trouble was it left me with only 300 chips, and this is where I’m pleased with myself for not giving up;

  • 1st double up
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,625)
    Hero (375)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is BB Jdiamonds poker card Aspades poker card
    SB calls 15, Hero goes all-in 375, SB calls 345

    Flop: 4spades poker card 8clubs poker card Ahearts poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: Jclubs poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: 7clubs poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 750
    Hero shows two pair, Aces and Jacks
    Jdiamonds poker card Aspades poker card
    SB shows high card Ace
    Khearts poker card Qspades poker card

    Hero wins 750 (net +375)

    SB lost 375

  • 2nd double up
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,220)
    Hero (780)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is BB 5clubs poker card 6spades poker card
    SB calls 15, Hero checks

    Flop: 2spades poker card 7clubs poker card 8clubs poker card (60, 2 players)
    Hero checks, SB checks

    Turn: 4diamonds poker card (60, 2 players)
    Hero bets 60, SB raises to 300, Hero goes all-in 750, SB calls 450

    River: 2diamonds poker card (1,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 1,560
    Hero shows a straight, Four to Eight
    5clubs poker card 6spades poker card
    SB shows two pair, Nines and Deuces
    9diamonds poker card 9hearts poker card

    Hero wins 1,560 (net +780)

    SB lost 780

And then the final hand – he shoved when I had KQo. TBH I hate calling shoves with this hand – I ought to stove it, but it never seems to hold up that well. Hmm, so maybe looking back I shouldn’t be so proud of this game since it ends on a flip when really I could have beat him by playing solidly. He was 100/100 and clearly chased down crap, so there was no need to flip – I think I was irrationally seeing him as a ‘lucky’ player, and if you’re going to pitch yourself against random bingo hands you might as well do it in a single preflop shove. Oh well, maybe not so great, but I won, and that’s what counts :-D

  • final hand
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    Hero (1,560)
    BB (1,440)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is SB Qspades poker card Kdiamonds poker card
    Hero raises to 90, BB goes all-in 1,440, Hero calls 1,350

    Flop: 7hearts poker card Qdiamonds poker card Jspades poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: 3spades poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: 10diamonds poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 2,880
    Hero shows a pair of Queens
    Qspades poker card Kdiamonds poker card
    BB shows a pair of Threes
    3diamonds poker card Aspades poker card

    Hero wins 2,880 (net +1,440)

    BB lost 1,440

Update: Yep, stoved KQ for all-in pre’s and it doesn’t look great – 40% against a 10% range. It’s not until the opponent’s calling range has opened up to 20% does it get to 50-50. Filtering my hands on HEM shows the same thing, 40% winrate (not massive sample though). Conclusion – shoving over a 3bet is probably ok (because of FE) although flatting the 3bet is ok too (I guess), but calling a shove is iffy unless you know opponent is a moron or stacks really short.

Update II: lol, I’m going to ignore my HEM stats, sample size is just way too small – I was checking win rates of other hands and all non-A broadways do < 40% while all A+broadway is > 40% with the exception of AKs, which is a horrendous 16%. If it can be that far out then it’s obvious I need loads and loads more hands before anything relevant can be made of things (obvious really I suppose).

Return to Form?

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Ok, so my last post was whingy and negative. Really though I’m feeling way more positive about my game, albeit only at the $5 stakes :-)

So since I feel I can beat the $5s, I might as well play 4mans+ and start to rebuild the roll a bit. So far, so good;

They’re regular speed, which is why there’s not many of them. Plus quite a few of the games have taken over 40 minutes to play (that’s a total of 6 hours playing time there) which is really slow.

Anyway, 105% ROI is good enough I think ;-)

I might switch up to $10 4mans tomorrow – not rolled for it really, but I can’t be arsed to follow strict BRM when I’m practically busto anyway. Either I re-emerge anew, or I redeposit…

Super Turbo HUSNGs

Saturday, August 7th, 2010

Harder work than I imagined, plus it pushes the tilt buttons a bit. This is two hours from this morning (1 hour of actual play, the rest made up of making coffee and having to restart Full Tilt after several crashes – one of which I managed to get back into the game with 200 chips & come back to win :-) );

28 games, 14 won, 14 lost.

What have I learnt so far (from only 30 or so games ;-) )? Being so shortstacked 3bb open raises and 3betting should be obviously poor plays, yet I’m finding the players who do this very difficult to beat. Firstly you’re folding a lot to them so losing plenty of blinds & your 2bb openraises, secondly if you do call to see a flop it’s really difficult to continue without getting committed (maybe my 4bet shove range is too tight, not that these hands come along enough to make that much difference). Of course they’re in the same situation (which is why it’s so bad on their part), but if they keep the initiative it’s hard to play against. Ideally you want an idiot who bloats the pot like this and then plays fit or fold postflop, but finding out if they’re like this can be an expensive process (esp if they hit a hand, which can be any piece of the board – expect them to call down A2 when they hit the 2).

However fortunately at these stakes the majority of players are still calling on the button pre, with plenty of random shoves. A min-reraise pre is either an A or a PP, and I’m almost tempted to start folding to these since I seem to be getting into trouble despite the tiny call to make (for similar reasons to above). The random shoves are often really wide, although usually contain an A of course, but I’d seen stuff like T6o as well.

So no idea on a strategy yet, other than play the usual endgame stuff (not Nash btw, which is a ridiculous endgame approach). Never giving up hope is a good start, it’s remarkable how often you can come back from < 200 chips.

Perfectly read hands (aka hero donkey calls);

No Limit Holdem Tournament

2 Players

$5 + $0.15 Heads Up Sit & Go

Stacks:
Hero (470)
BB (530)

Blinds: 15/30

Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is SB 5spades poker card Kclubs poker card
Hero raises to 60, BB calls 30

Flop: 9diamonds poker card Qdiamonds poker card 7spades poker card (120, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: 9clubs poker card (120, 2 players)
BB bets 60, Hero calls 60

River: 9spades poker card (240, 2 players)
BB bets 90, Hero calls 90

Final Pot: 420
BB shows
10clubs poker card 4spades poker card
Hero shows three of a kind, Nines
5spades poker card Kclubs poker card

Hero wins 420 (net +210)

BB lost 210

No Limit Holdem Tournament

2 Players

$5 + $0.15 Heads Up Sit & Go

Stacks:
Hero (480)
BB (520)

Blinds: 10/20

Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is SB 4clubs poker card Aspades poker card
Hero raises to 40, BB calls 20

Flop: 10clubs poker card 6hearts poker card 2hearts poker card (80, 2 players)
BB bets 120, Hero calls 120

Turn: 2clubs poker card (320, 2 players)
BB bets 60, Hero calls 60

River: 5diamonds poker card (440, 2 players)
BB bets 190, Hero calls 190

Final Pot: 820
Hero shows a pair of Twos
4clubs poker card Aspades poker card
BB shows
Kclubs poker card 4diamonds poker card

Hero wins 820 (net +410)

BB lost 410

More Variance Please

Thursday, August 5th, 2010

This was an exciting thread on 2p2. PrimordialAA bet Skates that he could play 2000 super turbo HUSNGs at high stakes ($350, $500 and $1000) and come away with a ROI of over 3%.

The thread was initially filled with the bewilderment of the uninitiated who couldn’t understand why such a small % was so hard, and even after having the error of their ways pointed out, PrimordialAA went on a massive heater making 3% look like a ridiculous number. In the first 500 games he won $60,000. Then the true face of super turbos finally kicked in, and he remained break-even for the rest of the games, which actually gave a nail-bitingly close finish, finishing just over 3%.

I managed to rail him on the last handful of games, and it looked fun. So I started playing some myself (at $5 of course lol), and it was as fun as it looked.  It was enjoyable because it was over in minutes and you already knew it was going to be high variance.

These two things make it so much easier to see the bigger picture. When I’m doing my regular HUSNGs I get pissed off at each game I lose (esp the suckouts obv), and a row of losses can stop me playing for the rest of the day. With these super turbos you just play game after game and you see your results after an hour’s play – much more like a regular cash session. So I guess playing $5 super turbos is like playing 2/5 cash with really really slow hands (lol, kinda).

Ok, fast forward to two weeks time and see me berating how crap super turbos are…

Update: also found a new blog to follow; Chipstar1. This was the guy who had that crazy million hands at NL2 showing a perfect climb. He’s now part of Pokerstars team online, representing the nanostakes players (despite having moved up to NL100). Seems a good guy & worth a read…

Jaded June

Sunday, June 27th, 2010

Poker has become frustrating again. Early victory in HU cash was fun, but as we come to the end of this month it still shows a loss – I’ll spend an hour against a weak opponent and win a nice variance-free buy-in (or two), and then go up against an aggressive player and lose the lot (plus I was pushing the limits each time, so the losses were v painful). 50/50 whether it’s been bad beats or my fault – I recently was against someone who was clearly overreaching with their bets, and got it all in on a 4bet with J3 as top pair. They called with an OESD that hit – even though I was a 60% favourite and had made a good read, the wisdom of pushing with J3 is hardly defending my case much.

Consequently I’m not playing much as the moment, it just seems a bit futile – in the early days a session was fun (or not), but the more I play the more I see poker as a long term game with all the sessions merged into a single win-rate, and it’s not that great.

Results for June:

HU Cash:

HUSNGs:

For a whole month that’s an amazingly low hand count. Bear in mind it’s single tabling on the cash games, plus I’ve been away 3/4 weekends this month, so not been playing much anyway.

300 $10 HUSNGs

Tuesday, June 8th, 2010

That’s 300 $10 husngs down. Two hundred to go.

No sign of my game improving, apart from now I run under ev rather than over it (hard to tell on graph above, but gap between the red & green are narrowing). At this rate I’ll be ev-neutral as I hit the 500 game mark. Possibly that’s a sign I’m getting it right though – if you were to go all-in ahead of your opponent every time, then you could only ever be under EV (and vice versa). Which means players who are over-EV (as I was) are probably getting it in bad more often than not, while players under-EV are getting it in good more often than not.

So it’s good to be under-EV?

May

Tuesday, June 1st, 2010

Monthly review time, and it’s not pretty. In fact, in terms of $$$ loss this is easily the worst month I’ve ever had (although that was only possible because the prior months were the best I’ve ever had);

Despite stopping the hemorrhaging I haven’t been able to turn it around yet – my decision to grind out 500 $10 games is taking longer than I’d hoped, and being a grind is definitely the right way of describing it. Since it’s not turned into a winning run means it’s not time yet to move back – my BR is still ok for $20 games (or $30s really), but there’s no point burning more money than I need to. The grind has also slowed in the last week or so because of the frustration and having a few camping weekends, so it’s not been easy lately.

Showing how it stands for 2010 as a whole puts it into perspective – how to have a heater and then give it back;



Forum

Re: Forum is main site now by yegor_kgb 13:14, Aug 03 2010
Forum is main site now by Meteoric 21:27, Jul 30 2010
Re: StoxEV by Simon Debanks 09:25, May 07 2010
Re: StoxEV by Meteoric 20:05, Apr 29 2010
Re: StoxEV by yegor_kgb 08:30, Apr 28 2010
StoxEV by Simon Debanks 21:53, Apr 27 2010
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