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Money Not Chips

Wednesday, April 14th, 2010

I’ve withdrawn some money!

Just a little ($120) – that’s the first time since I had to take everything out to pay credit card bills and restarted from scratch. It’s not something I really want to do since every step backwards on the BR is time lost in getting to higher stakes, but there was a couple of things I wanted to get. Since they were poker related I thought it’d be reasonable to use some of my BR for them.

First thing was a HH review by a coach. ChicagoRy posts on 2p2 a lot and seems a smart guy. He plays $100s, has a good record and can certainly teach me something. The HH review was $40, and he was clear and it all made sense what he was saying – however to get the most out of it I’m going to have to send him at least one more and then maybe a sweat session. One HH review isn’t going to revolutionise my game (I guess it’s like tennis lessons – get an individual lesson and it costs about £20. It’ll improve your serve a little, but won’t turn you into Federer instantly). Several HH and a session will add up to a fair bit of $$$ unfortunately, but the time seems about right. If the rest of the week goes well I’ll send him a second HH and take it a step at a time. If the rest of this week bombs, then it’ll have to wait.

Second thing was Omaha holdem manager. A bit of a frivolous buy, but during the times when I don’t want to gamble too heavily (ie reg peak times of the US afternoon) I’ve been knocking about with $1 PLO husngs. Cheapest way of playing PLO heads up! Postflop I’m getting more confident, but I’m still clueless about preflop (is it ever worth 3betting?). My opponents seem more clueless though, so it’s hard to know if I’m thinking clearly or if they’re just spazzing out;

Pot Limit Omaha Tournament
2 Players

$1 + $0.10 Heads Up Sit & Go

Stacks:
Hero (1,620)
BB (1,380)

Blinds: 10/20

Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players)

Hero is SB Khearts poker card 8spades poker card 3clubs poker card 9diamonds poker card
Hero raises to 40, BB calls 20

Flop: 6diamonds poker card 5hearts poker card 7clubs poker card (80, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 80, BB calls 80

Turn: Jclubs poker card (240, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 240, BB raises to 480, Hero goes all-in 1,500, BB goes all-in 780

River: 5diamonds poker card (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: 3,000
Hero shows a straight, Nine high
Khearts poker card 8spades poker card 3clubs poker card 9diamonds poker card
BB shows a straight, Eight high
Adiamonds poker card 8diamonds poker card 3diamonds poker card 4diamonds poker card

Hero wins 3,000 (net +1,380)

BB lost 1,380

lol, to be fair when I chose that HH (mainly just to test if the convertor worked) I didn’t realise he had a straight. Maybe not such a spaz after all…

Update

Saturday, April 10th, 2010

I’m now happily entrenched playing $30s, and so far this is proving to be a big month;

So much so that my BR is about to tip over $1k which is a massive milestone for me. When that happens I should probably move to $50s with some confidence even though it only just meets the 20 buy-in level. The main reason I should feel confident is that I discovered the ‘Graph Buy-ins’ option in HEM and it shows a really consistent win rate for my husngs;

That seems to hide the fact that my $20 games were exactly breakeven so maybe it doesn’t mean that much. However I’ve not noticed the $30 games to be particularly scary.

I also played my first pot limit Omaha husng today (for a massive $1!). I won, but to be honest I didn’t have a clue to what I was doing. I just have no feel whatsoever as to what a strong hand is. I thought it might be a good route into playing PLO HU cash, but the traffic is very low so maybe it’s not worthwhile.

March

Wednesday, March 31st, 2010

March was a very unexceptional month. Something that’s obvious just from the fact that this was only my 8th post in the entire month – the lowest post count since I started this blog.

husngs;

It was another month of trying to push into higher staked games – each attempt busting out and having to back pedal a bit to regain confidence. My enforced goal of 20 games to acclimatise into $20s almost worked, but once I cleared the Full Tilt $50 bonus I switched over to Ultimate Bet (who’d offered me a $100 bonus, which might just get cleared by christmas at this rate). However I’d only left about $30 in that account so it was back to $5s and $10s (whatever was available) to rebuild the account a bit first. I’d just got it built to about $100 when it had dawned on me that my overall roll is over $700 – I should be trying $30s, not $20s!

Consequently the obvious happened and a couple of $30 games later I’d blown the account back down to $20 or so (that’s at the 125 game mark). Crawled back to $5s and $10s. I probably should just transfer a couple of hundred from another account, but whatever.

Despite my poor results, the husng players at Ultimate Bet are really bad. Preflop raises are fairly rare and you can pin them down to bluffer, station, nit etc fairly quickly. It seems though that I’m my own worst enemy. For instance I’ll have ground them down to 1/3 of the chips and then do some fool move like call a shove with ATo and end up reversing the chip count. My opponent has made so many bad moves that I start to treat their raises with contempt, and inevitably walk into a monster. Stupid stuff. I’ve even changed my avatar to a fish to remind me who the idiot at the table really is…

Cash;

No, I’ve not really returned to cash games – as explained in an earlier post I did a bit of rush to clear the last few $$$ of my FT bonus and somehow accidentally won at the same time. The blue line that shoots off at the end is rakeback + the bonus.

So end result is +$100 (Rakeback on the husngs is $30 which cancelled out the husng losses). Compared to the last two months that’s fairly poor, but I’m not complaining – it’s still a gain!

Next month? I’m determined not to wimp out of playing the stakes I should be playing. That means $30 games. Unless I get a few games in a row that’ll mean transferring some money to my UB account, but no big deal really.

Feeling Bad About Losing

Friday, February 26th, 2010

I took a shot at a $30 husng the other night and lost it. I then tried a few $20s and lost them. After that had a go at some $10 4man shootouts and lost those too.

So all in all a $90 knock back. Pretty shitty, but nothing my bankroll can’t handle – if I don’t take these shots I’ll only progress very slowly, and that’s not good for my game or bankroll.

I mentioned the hit to S1ndr0me, and how when you lose it’s a much bigger hurt than the joy you get from winning – the two things don’t really balance. It’s not just my opinion it feels like this, I’ve seen plenty of other players (at all stakes) express a similar thing.

S1ndr0me then mentioned something that lit a lightbulb up over why it’s like this – he said that when he looks at his bankroll he’s very aware of the hours and thousands of hands it’s taken to build that roll.

I realised then that the reason why hurts > joy is that with our BR we’re continually climbing a mountain. We know it’s easier to slide down than climb up, and when we do slide down we have to reclimb the bit we just lost.

So effectively the $$$ we lose are twice the ‘value’ of $$$ we win, because we have to re-win that amount just to get back to where we were. When we see the number $90 lost, we compare it to where we should have been if we’d won that $90, and so relatively speaking we have lost $180 worth of value. Although we’re disciplined enough not to see it as cash, it’s still $180 worth of hard effort and risk. It’s $180 of blood, sweat and tears.

So what mental games can we play to get over this, and how do we reduce our ‘scared money’ tentativeness when taking shots (now that we realise it’s not scared money, but scared ‘effort potentially wasted’)?

Well, I’ve no idea. I’ll think about it, and perhaps Google around a bit. I’ve seen United113′s approach which is to give a set value to a match regardless of win or lose (based on your ROI), but I don’t think this works for me – firstly I don’t really grind enough games to get a valid ROI to see where I’m going, but also I think it would diminish my desire to win. I’m actually very aware that losing a match is putting my BR 2 steps back (just hadn’t articulated it before I guess), and I need that tension to make sure I fight for every game. If I take a bad hit and I’m down to $200 chips to my opponent’s $2800 I’m usually still very confident that I can swing it back (I’ve done it enough times to know I can, even though I probably lose from this point more often than I win). If I gave a value to each game win or lose then I would probably let those games go and my ROI would slip downwards. I have no intentions of becoming the Tim Henman of poker…

Tournaments, Bankroll and Getting Twitchy

Thursday, December 17th, 2009

I did a brief audit of all my poker sites and it appears that my bankroll is now $450. That’s better than I expected and only $50 short of the NL25 minimum bankroll. Although if I want to be strict with myself the actual ‘move up to NL25′ point is 25 buy-ins (so I have an overlap), which is $625, and that seems a long long way off.

So I’ve started to get twitchy about my bankroll and being at NL10 and not really moving forward very quickly. That sounds kinda stupid since it was only June that I cashed out and started again from $30 – it’s not as if I’m heading in the wrong direction!

I think the thing is that it feels like I’ve been playing NL10 forever – I started out playing online poker a little bit more than two years now and where I was playing had NL10 minimum. I would play, lose, redeposit etc, but didn’t really know what I was doing. I found 2p2, starting raising preflop more, and started losing even more. Fortunately I moved to Pokerstars where I switched to NL5, although continued to spew horrendously (losing 40 buy-ins! Check my lifetime chart – that’s the slightly smoother crash at about 12k hands). I moved to NL2, fixed some major leaks (ie learnt to fold), and started rebuilding.

So I’m feeling confined by NL10 – I’ll tempt fate by saying I’m not here because I can’t play any better, but merely tethered by my bankroll being insufficient. And that’s where this whinging is moving into dangerous territory – I’m getting seriously itchy to start taking shots at NL25. I know I can do ok, but I also know that I’m a swingy player and it could be an utter disaster. I don’t play sufficient volume to iron that kind of thing out (which is also why I’m not moving up quickly enough – I’m too lazy to play enough hands!).

To divert myself from making a big mistake I decided to try the MTT route again last night. I played a bunch of 180 & 90 man SNG’s, thinking that a single good win would give me the wriggle room to ‘safely’ take a few NL25 shots.

Of course it didn’t go to plan – I only played a handful and as everyone knows you have to play a whole bunch to realise a ‘real’ return from these things. Out of the 8 I played I only cashed in one, and that was really stupid – I was 3rd in chips and we were down to 15 (from 90). I ended up calling a shove with TPGK to see the with villain with 2 pair. Turned out the villain was 2nd chip stack, and I was out. So stupid… I did the same thing on another 90 man – chip leader until about 20 people left, then threw it away on two badly played hands.

So, still feeling twitchy. I need to come to some kind of decision by Saturday – chances are that’ll be when I’ll have a go if it comes down to it. However if I do it while feeling that I’ve got to make a return I’ll play badly and probably make things worse. And then what happens if it goes well? Even a nice 3 buy-in win won’t push me into NL25 territory – it’ll only make me want to risk my BR more.

Bankroll management sucks.

The It Crowd

Monday, December 7th, 2009

Anyone been watching XBlink’s incredible rags to riches story? In his own words;

1. $11 tournament won 1st place —> $750 (all I had on my account, was going to redeposit if i lost the tournament)
2. $750 grinding low stakes omaha.
3. $750 –> $4k the next day, move up to 2/4 and 3/6 PLO, then to 5/10.
4. 4k –>$16k, played 5/10 and 10/20 PLO
5. For the next 2 days, I was bouncing from $20k – $60k playing 10/20 PLO.
6. 5th day: Start 25/50 PLO , I see 6 digits now.
7. 6th day till now – play 25/50, 50/100, 100/200, 200/400 PLO, and NL when theres no PLO.

Went busto 20+ times by now for $500 each. Hope I dont go busto this time.

From threads on 2p2 it looks like that 6 figure sum is somewhere between $500k and a million dollars. I can’t imagine playing NL10 one week, getting fed up of losing $10 pots, and then a week later playing NL400 with a 100k stack sitting in front of me. Clearly bankroll management is just a conspiracy to keep us in the micros…

Yegor skypes me every now and again with updates of Isildur1′s battles. I said that railing these games was no better than avidly reading ‘Hello’ magazine. So we then dashed off to watch him playing HU NLHE against Brian (Townsend? I can’t remember, I think it was a different Brian – Hastings maybe?). So sad…

Weekend’s Over

Monday, November 30th, 2009

Failed to cash in any of the weekend MTTs. Shouldn’t be too surprised as the fields for both were massive!

The 5k freeroll I went out about 9000th – playing a few hands which all missed on flop + failed to get a cbet fold tends to cripple your stack, followed by the inevitable shove as the blinds begin to bite. I saw S1ndr0me hold on a bit longer as he doubled up at some point, but later even he succumbed to a AJ vs A9 seeing a 9 on the flop. Bit of a waste of time really anyway – you have to beat thousands of others just to cash $10? What’s the point…

The Turbo Takedown is similar, but at least the cash is better. I had poor hands throughout, although at least this time I did build my stack a bit. However again the blinds were ferocious and eventually I failed to stay in. I was tantalizingly close to the money – from a field of twenty-two thousand people (!!!), only 6900 were left and 5oooth place paid $78. But beating 15,000 other idiots wasn’t enough and I was left empty handed. Yegor railed me throughout (nothing better to do, really?) and said that I needed to have built a stronger stack and taken more risks. He’s right, but I was feeling a bit risk averse unfortunately.

So, no new update to November’s results. Might play tonight, but whatever.

Plans for December? I’ve decided that all my plotting and calculations on what’s the best rakeback etc is all a bit pointless when done in a vacuum. What I really need to do is actually put my money where my mouth is and test it out.

So I’m going to split my bankroll equally between Pokerstars, Full Tilt and Ultimate Bet. I’ll switch my sessions equally between the three and see how it goes (I’ll try to match it so that by the end of the month I’ll have roughly the same number of hands at each site). At the end of the month(s) I’ll also factor in Rakeback and bonuses into my winnings and see which site comes out on top. I probably should add in Titan, but I don’t want to spread the BR that thin on any one site.

This hopefully will factor in things such as the ‘softness’ of the sites, table selection etc, and see if it’s true that if the players on Ultimate Bet are that much worse than Full Tilt, then it should show a better winrate from that site.


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