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Jaded June

Sunday, June 27th, 2010

Poker has become frustrating again. Early victory in HU cash was fun, but as we come to the end of this month it still shows a loss – I’ll spend an hour against a weak opponent and win a nice variance-free buy-in (or two), and then go up against an aggressive player and lose the lot (plus I was pushing the limits each time, so the losses were v painful). 50/50 whether it’s been bad beats or my fault – I recently was against someone who was clearly overreaching with their bets, and got it all in on a 4bet with J3 as top pair. They called with an OESD that hit – even though I was a 60% favourite and had made a good read, the wisdom of pushing with J3 is hardly defending my case much.

Consequently I’m not playing much as the moment, it just seems a bit futile – in the early days a session was fun (or not), but the more I play the more I see poker as a long term game with all the sessions merged into a single win-rate, and it’s not that great.

Results for June:

HU Cash:

husngs:

For a whole month that’s an amazingly low hand count. Bear in mind it’s single tabling on the cash games, plus I’ve been away 3/4 weekends this month, so not been playing much anyway.

May

Tuesday, June 1st, 2010

Monthly review time, and it’s not pretty. In fact, in terms of $$$ loss this is easily the worst month I’ve ever had (although that was only possible because the prior months were the best I’ve ever had);

Despite stopping the hemorrhaging I haven’t been able to turn it around yet – my decision to grind out 500 $10 games is taking longer than I’d hoped, and being a grind is definitely the right way of describing it. Since it’s not turned into a winning run means it’s not time yet to move back – my BR is still ok for $20 games (or $30s really), but there’s no point burning more money than I need to. The grind has also slowed in the last week or so because of the frustration and having a few camping weekends, so it’s not been easy lately.

Showing how it stands for 2010 as a whole puts it into perspective – how to have a heater and then give it back;

A Downswing

Tuesday, May 4th, 2010

Pride goes before a fall :-(

Since the 27th of last month I have done nothing but lose;

Only 29 games in 8 days, so you might say that’s not enough games to be a real downswing. However, it’s crushing my confidence – I now start a game thinking I’m going to lose which is really bad.

I think I might drop right down to $10s to reassure myself that I’m capable of a +ve ROI again…

SCOOP

Sunday, May 2nd, 2010

Didn’t even get past the late registration period;

No Limit Holdem Tournament
6 Players

$200+$15

Stacks:
UTG Callisto 5 (5,975)
UTG+1 ThaSquirrel (14,665)
CO Hero (7,065)
BTN ertbAl (12,505)
SB JEFFHOLLAR83 (21,802)
BB Absurdity1 (8,700)

Blinds: 40/80

Pre-Flop: (120, 6 players) Hero is CO Kspades poker card Aclubs poker card
2 folds, Hero raises to 240, ertbAl calls 240, 2 folds

Flop: Kclubs poker card 3clubs poker card Qspades poker card (600, 2 players)
Hero bets 400, ertbAl raises to 1,100, Hero goes all-in 6,825, ertbAl calls 5,725

Turn: 3hearts poker card (14,250, 2 players, 1 all-in)

River: 5hearts poker card (14,250, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: 14,250
ertbAl shows two pair, Kings and Queens
Qdiamonds poker card Kdiamonds poker card
Hero shows two pair, Kings and Threes
Kspades poker card Aclubs poker card

ertbAl wins 14,250 (net +7,185)

Hero lost 7,065

Finish: 5889th. Sigh… Can’t seem to win a husng at the moment either :-(

Unregistered Plus Heads Up SNG Hand Chart

Sunday, March 14th, 2010

Pokerwise I’ve had a crappy weekend, and the way I was playing I decided to unregister from the miniftops heads up tourney :-(

I did manage to sort out some problems with my game though (around tournament 15), but as you can see from the red ‘luck adjusted’ line I ran into enough ‘bad luck’ to not make any difference (tbh I don’t put any credence into these EV adjusted values at all, but like any good statistics; when they prove your point they must be right). It was pretty bad though, and one game I was up $2550 vs $450 when I disconnected – by the time I rebooted my shitty modem and reconnected I was the one with $300 left :-(

Nevertheless, the problem I sorted out was my starting range. When I started out on husngs I was playing by instinct, taking my 6max range and widening it out to what felt right, and all was good with big rocketing graphs every day. I then found a starting range on husng.com and started implementing that.

Since that day I’ve broken even. Small sample, but it wasn’t right at all – I was getting into too many marginal spots, ending up overcommitting and spending most of my time fighting to come back from behind. So today I took a step back and thought what a heads-up range for SNGs ought to be. Basically since in a husng we’re playing shortstack poker most of the time, it makes sense that the Nash table is giving us the right distribution- after all, it’s calculated from the all-in preflop equity you have in a hand based on two players under shortstacked conditions.

So I twiddled around with the ratios until it presented 70% and 30% of the hands (so 70% is my opening range on the button and 30% is my calling range on BB). In this table the 70% is everything except the light grey, and the 30% is in bold;

A K Q J T 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
A AA AKs AQs AJs ATs A9s A8s A7s A6s A5s A4s A3s A2s
K AK KK KQs KJs KTs K9s K8s K7s K6s K5s K4s K3s K2s
Q AQ KQ QQ QJs QTs Q9s Q8s Q7s Q6s Q5s Q4s Q3s Q2s
J AJ KJ QJ JJ JTs J9s J8s J7s J6s J5s J4s J3s J2s
T AT KT QT JT TT T9s T8s T7s T6s T5s T4s T3s T2s
9 A9 K9 Q9 J9 T9 99 98s 97s 96s 95s 94s 93s 92s
8 A8 K8 Q8 J8 T8 98 88 87s 86s 85s 84s 83s 82s
7 A7 K7 Q7 J7 T7 97 87 77 76s 75s 74s 73s 72s
6 A6 K6 Q6 J6 T6 96 86 76 66 65s 64s 63s 62s
5 A5 K5 Q5 J5 T5 95 85 75 65 55 54s 53s 52s
4 A4 K4 Q4 J4 T4 94 84 74 64 54 44 43s 42s
3 A3 K3 Q3 J3 T3 93 83 73 63 53 43 33 32s
2 A2 K2 Q2 J2 T2 92 82 72 62 52 42 32 22

The husng.com table varied in that it had the entire suited side for opening under the button with the junk as mainly the bottom section of the unsuited corner. TBH the husng.com table was for a cash player, and so that’s a very different dynamic, so I’m not saying it was wrong. But for husngs, it was totally unsuitable. My games instantly improved, with the number of awkward decisions vastly reduced. Shame the number of idiot calls that sucked out on the river didn’t.

Also I don’t care what anyone says about not needing hand charts. They’ll tell you that heads up is fluid and your range depends entirely on what’s best to beat your opponent. That’s true, but without having a solid and appropriate foundation from which to add or remove hands you’re just building castles in the air…

Normality Resumed

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

So cash was way too swingy and husngs looked like a fantastic low variance easy climb up the ranks. Nothing could stop me.

Yeah right. I’ve managed to incorporate swings into husngs. It wasn’t easy, but I did it;

I’ve just lost 10 games in a row. The first 4 were $20s, and after seeing it fall away I switched back to $10s. It just kept on going. I’ve finally broken the streak with a single hand game where I sucked out to get 2pair on the river (yep, would have had a fairly crippled stack if that hadn’t happened).

One thing I’ve noticed though is that Full Tilt is easier than Pokerstars – even though PS has twice as many players there seem to be more newbs on FT husngs, plus the blind structure seems slower (well, seems slower, haven’t actually compared properly).

I think I’ll just piss around on rush poker for a bit just to have some low pressure donking – watch me throw a load more away :-)

FML – down $30 in 50 hands! Ran into Kings and Aces left right and center. Why do I even bother…

Standstill Weekend

Sunday, February 14th, 2010

I played mainly $20 husngs this weekend and it was win some then lose some etc. I ended up $16 down which is pretty much the rake of all the games I played (shame it was Pokerstars – no rakeback silver lining this time).

I instantly think that I’ve hit my skill limits and should go back to $10s. What I should be thinking is that breakeven isn’t the same as losing – it’s just a hiccup. In fact if breakeven is what happens when you play/run bad, then I should be happy! How the f*k can I be thinking negatively when I’ve been running like this (2010 results so far);

(why isn’t HEM plotting the number of tournies at the bottom? That’s 150 tournaments there)

It’s not like the players were any different at $20s than they were at $10s. I’m still being my worst own enemy though – most of my losses have not been because I’ve been outplayed by aggressive super-regs, but because I bluffed too often and the other guy called me down with 3rd or 4th pair. Looking at the sharkscope charts of some of the guys that have beat me is truly embarassing.


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