Same opponent, 1st round of a knockout MTT (watch the stacks – you’ll see that not much happened between these hands);
Pokerstars
2 Players
$5.00+$5.00+$0.50
Stacks:
Hero (2,720)
BB (280)
Blinds: 25/50
Pre-Flop: (75, 2 players) Hero is SB 7
K
Hero goes all-in 2,720, BB goes all-in 230
Flop: Q J
2
(3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)
Turn: K (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)
River: 10 (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)
Final Pot: 3,000
BB shows a straight, Nine to King
9 8
Hero shows a pair of Kings
7 K
BB wins 560 (net +280)
Hero collects 2,440 (net -280)
PokerStars
2 Players
$5.00+$5.00+$0.50
Stacks:
Hero (2,465)
BB (535)
Blinds: 30/60
Pre-Flop: (90, 2 players) Hero is SB A A
Hero raises to 120, BB goes all-in 535, Hero calls 415
Flop: 4 6 Q (1,070, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Turn: J (1,070, 2 players, 1 all-in)
River: 5 (1,070, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Final Pot: 1,070
BB shows a straight, Three to Seven
7 3
Hero shows a pair of Aces
A A
BB wins 1,070 (net +535)
Hero lost 535
PokerStars
2 Players
$5.00+$5.00+$0.50
Stacks:
Hero (1,900)
BB (1,100)
Blinds: 30/60
Pre-Flop: (90, 2 players) Hero is SB Q Q
Hero raises to 120, BB calls 60
Flop: 5 9 6 (240, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 260, BB raises to 520, Hero goes all-in 1,780, BB goes all-in 460
Turn: K (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)
River: 4 (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)
Hero says “wow”
Final Pot: 3,000
BB shows a straight, Five to Nine
8 7
Hero shows a pair of Queens
Q Q
BB wins 2,200 (net +1,100)
Hero collects 800 (net -1,100)
PokerStars
2 Players
$5.00+$5.00+$0.50
Stacks:
SB (1,920)
Hero (1,080)
Blinds: 40/80
Pre-Flop: (120, 2 players) Hero is BB Q J
SB raises to 240, Hero goes all-in 1,080, SB calls 840
Flop: 9 7 8 (2,160, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Turn: 10 (2,160, 2 players, 1 all-in)
River: Q (2,160, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Final Pot: 2,160
SB shows a flush, King high
K 7
Hero shows a straight, Eight to Queen
Q J
SB wins 2,160 (net +1,080)
Hero lost 1,080
Dayam!
I figured out the odds – preflop it’s a 1% chance he wins all 4 hands. If we take the points at which he’s the most beat (ie turn on first couple of hands), he only had a 0.08% chance of making it, which means this was a one in a 1000 possibility.
How come it happens all the time then?
Do you mod your comments or did my last one hiccup (i.e. testing 1-2-3)
(ah so, thought so!)
Remember the Gambler’s Fallacy — you can’t just multiply the odds since each deal is a discrete event. (And the last hand was a coin flip, imo.)
But otherwise, to paraphrase Jesus in Johnny Got His Gun, maybe I’ll go just away now; you’re a very unlucky young man and sometimes it rubs off!
it was because you used a different email address, normally you’re free to post anything as offensive as you like
Isn’t there a difference when it’s after the event, rather than predicting the event. The chances of me saying that some donk will do that to me today (with 4 exactly equivalent hands) is a 1000 to 1. The chances it happened yesterday is exactly 1.
Roughly averaging it out, it’s always 50/50. Everyone knows that