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Struggle

Just had a game I was proud to have won, even though villain was a drooler he hit so often, and so big, that I really had to cling on in there;

Started out ok with a flopped 2pair OOP which fortunately he did all the betting for me (in hindsight I was passive, but it was early on and he bet pot on flop & turn, so caution was prob best anyway).

Next hand I had QQ IP, he massively 3bet me to 200 so it was an easy shove. He called with 93s!!! Maybe it’s his lucky hand or something, but since the board went 99A43 for a FH maybe there’s something in that.

He then continued to amaze me by chasing a gutshot down – unfortunately when he hit it also gave me a weaker straight;

  • Absurdly chased draw
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    Pokerstars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (1,720)
    Hero (1,280)

    Blinds: 10/20

    Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is BB 7spades poker card 10spades poker card
    SB calls 10, Hero checks

    Flop: 10hearts poker card 6diamonds poker card 9diamonds poker card (40, 2 players)
    Hero bets 40, SB calls 40

    Turn: 4clubs poker card (120, 2 players)
    Hero bets 80, SB calls 80

    River: 8diamonds poker card (280, 2 players)
    Hero bets 200, SB raises to 400, Hero calls 200

    Final Pot: 1,080
    Hero shows
    7spades poker card 10spades poker card
    SB shows a straight, Seven to Jack
    Jclubs poker card 7hearts poker card

    SB wins 1,080 (net +540)

    Hero lost 540

Next hand was my fault though

  • should have respected his raises
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,120)
    Hero (880)

    Blinds: 10/20

    Pre-Flop: (30, 2 players) Hero is BB 10spades poker card 8spades poker card
    SB calls 10, Hero checks

    Flop: 2diamonds poker card 8diamonds poker card 2spades poker card (40, 2 players)
    Hero bets 40, SB calls 40

    Turn: Ahearts poker card (120, 2 players)
    Hero bets 100, SB raises to 200, Hero calls 100

    River: 3clubs poker card (520, 2 players)
    Hero checks, SB bets 300, Hero calls 300

    Final Pot: 1,120
    Hero shows
    10spades poker card 8spades poker card
    SB shows two pair, Aces and Deuces
    Adiamonds poker card Qspades poker card

    SB wins 1,120 (net +560)

    Hero lost 560

. Trouble was it left me with only 300 chips, and this is where I’m pleased with myself for not giving up;

  • 1st double up
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,625)
    Hero (375)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is BB Jdiamonds poker card Aspades poker card
    SB calls 15, Hero goes all-in 375, SB calls 345

    Flop: 4spades poker card 8clubs poker card Ahearts poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: Jclubs poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: 7clubs poker card (750, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 750
    Hero shows two pair, Aces and Jacks
    Jdiamonds poker card Aspades poker card
    SB shows high card Ace
    Khearts poker card Qspades poker card

    Hero wins 750 (net +375)

    SB lost 375

  • 2nd double up
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    SB (2,220)
    Hero (780)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is BB 5clubs poker card 6spades poker card
    SB calls 15, Hero checks

    Flop: 2spades poker card 7clubs poker card 8clubs poker card (60, 2 players)
    Hero checks, SB checks

    Turn: 4diamonds poker card (60, 2 players)
    Hero bets 60, SB raises to 300, Hero goes all-in 750, SB calls 450

    River: 2diamonds poker card (1,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 1,560
    Hero shows a straight, Four to Eight
    5clubs poker card 6spades poker card
    SB shows two pair, Nines and Deuces
    9diamonds poker card 9hearts poker card

    Hero wins 1,560 (net +780)

    SB lost 780

And then the final hand – he shoved when I had KQo. TBH I hate calling shoves with this hand – I ought to stove it, but it never seems to hold up that well. Hmm, so maybe looking back I shouldn’t be so proud of this game since it ends on a flip when really I could have beat him by playing solidly. He was 100/100 and clearly chased down crap, so there was no need to flip – I think I was irrationally seeing him as a ‘lucky’ player, and if you’re going to pitch yourself against random bingo hands you might as well do it in a single preflop shove. Oh well, maybe not so great, but I won, and that’s what counts :-D

  • final hand
    No Limit Holdem Tournament
    PokerStars
    2 Players

    $10.00+$0.50

    Stacks:
    Hero (1,560)
    BB (1,440)

    Blinds: 15/30

    Pre-Flop: (45, 2 players) Hero is SB Qspades poker card Kdiamonds poker card
    Hero raises to 90, BB goes all-in 1,440, Hero calls 1,350

    Flop: 7hearts poker card Qdiamonds poker card Jspades poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Turn: 3spades poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: 10diamonds poker card (2,880, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    Final Pot: 2,880
    Hero shows a pair of Queens
    Qspades poker card Kdiamonds poker card
    BB shows a pair of Threes
    3diamonds poker card Aspades poker card

    Hero wins 2,880 (net +1,440)

    BB lost 1,440

Update: Yep, stoved KQ for all-in pre’s and it doesn’t look great – 40% against a 10% range. It’s not until the opponent’s calling range has opened up to 20% does it get to 50-50. Filtering my hands on HEM shows the same thing, 40% winrate (not massive sample though). Conclusion – shoving over a 3bet is probably ok (because of FE) although flatting the 3bet is ok too (I guess), but calling a shove is iffy unless you know opponent is a moron or stacks really short.

Update II: lol, I’m going to ignore my HEM stats, sample size is just way too small – I was checking win rates of other hands and all non-A broadways do < 40% while all A+broadway is > 40% with the exception of AKs, which is a horrendous 16%. If it can be that far out then it’s obvious I need loads and loads more hands before anything relevant can be made of things (obvious really I suppose).

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