I have recently been called an infamous luckbox by some dodgy russian. I would just like to say for the record that hands like the following only occur once every couple of games – how outrageous to call me a luckbox!
2 Players
$20 + $1 Heads Up Sit & Go
Stacks:
SB Hero (1,885)
BB Villain (1,115)
Blinds: 25/50
Pre-Flop: (75, 2 players) Hero is SB 4
J
Hero raises to 100, Villain calls 50
Flop: 6
4 10 (200, 2 players)
Villain checks, Hero bets 200, Villain calls 200
Turn: K (600, 2 players)
Villain checks, Hero goes all-in 1,585, Villain goes all-in 815
Hero shows 4 J
Villain shows K J
Two cards left in the deck that can help our unfortunate hero!
River: 4 (3,000, 2 players, 2 all-in)
Final Pot: 3,000
Hero has three of a kind, Fours
Villain has two pair, Kings and Fours
Hero wins 3,000 (net +1,115)
Villain lost 1,115
I have made my feelings clear that all-in EV graphs are misleading and erroneous, but maybe I’m somewhat biased – I checked my lifetime history, and for cash I’m $340 over expected $ and for husngs I’m $235 over. If I didn’t believe that those calcs were complete and utter tosh then I’d be deluding myself that I can play poker (so I know which delusion is the healthiest!).
Other news – finally made 5k Full Tilt points so that I could order their security key. Seems to have taken ages to make those points (I think I threw away loads on big MTT satellites before deciding that I wanted a key). While I haven’t got vast amounts of dolares in my account it is slowly increasing. At some point this year it’s quite likely to exceed what’s actually in my regular bank account (British indebted society sucks), and if I’m going to get all paranoid about my personal account being online, then obviously I should take all possible steps to secure my poker accounts.
Now I just have to wait 6 months for it to arrive.
i thought EV graphs are misleading because noone ever runs above EV..meh
just imagine you’ve been runing $600 below ev lifetime
btw, reasoning behind this shove?
um, metagame?
btw, if you google “infamous luckbox”, your blog appears on the 3rd place; i’m only 8th. you got served! ha-ha!