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Archive for February, 2010

One Chip Wonder

Monday, February 15th, 2010

Here’s an old classic thread from 2p2 that just got bumped from the dusty depths.

I’d noticed on some MTTs that some players choose bet amounts like $2999 which result in a really tall chipstack graphic, obviously they’re hoping that their huge appendage has a bit more fold equity. TBH they’re probably right, and it’s not a bad tactic against the lower stakes fish.

Well the OP of that thread goes to the opposite end – on a table with lots of limpers (omaha in his case, but there are some nlhe hands in the thread) he chooses his bet amount so that it’s a single chip. For instance everyone’s limping in with $0.50c chips and he casually raises to $25.50 (with a premium hand obv) – the next player just sees a chip like the previous limpers (doesn’t notice the colour change obv) and calls thinking he’s limping and then suddenly realises he just put his whole stack in.

Even better is that often there’s some left behind and OP pushes the last few dollars and is getting a fold!

Hard to believe some people are that dumb, but the proof’s in that thread :-)

Standstill Weekend

Sunday, February 14th, 2010

I played mainly $20 husngs this weekend and it was win some then lose some etc. I ended up $16 down which is pretty much the rake of all the games I played (shame it was Pokerstars – no rakeback silver lining this time).

I instantly think that I’ve hit my skill limits and should go back to $10s. What I should be thinking is that breakeven isn’t the same as losing – it’s just a hiccup. In fact if breakeven is what happens when you play/run bad, then I should be happy! How the f*k can I be thinking negatively when I’ve been running like this (2010 results so far);

(why isn’t HEM plotting the number of tournies at the bottom? That’s 150 tournaments there)

It’s not like the players were any different at $20s than they were at $10s. I’m still being my worst own enemy though – most of my losses have not been because I’ve been outplayed by aggressive super-regs, but because I bluffed too often and the other guy called me down with 3rd or 4th pair. Looking at the sharkscope charts of some of the guys that have beat me is truly embarassing.

PokerStars in £££s

Friday, February 12th, 2010

Anyone changed their account to GBP yet?

Good idea or bad idea? They’ve dropped the 1% margin surcharge on conversions so it should be a ‘fair’ exchange, but what else would make it worthwhile (or not)?

Fear of the Reg

Thursday, February 11th, 2010

Switching to heads-up SNG’s has been a good move, but I’ve been a bit of a coward. Games at the weekend have been nice and easy, but the few I’ve tried on weekday evenings didn’t go too well. Not that I played many – usually it would go something like;

Sit down & wait.
Guy joins the table – shit, he has an avatar! He must be a reg…
He raises the button! Oh no, I’m in trouble.
We play a bunch of hands, I panic, money goes all in and then I go out.
I log out of poker and watch tv instead. Stop loss of one game!

Very pathetic. So I came up with a plan – weekday evening time here in the UK is working day time in the States, so all the Americans playing at that time would be more likely to be a reg. Solution – play Party Poker where our girth challenged ex-colonial friends can’t play! Our evening time would mean European casual players plus the Russians who should be getting on to be fairly drunk (yes, you know who you are!). Perfect plan!

Except it turns out the rake on Party Poker for micro SNGs is horrendous! Not only that, but they ‘hide’ how much of the buy-in is Rake – you only get to see it as you register on a table (and even then it isn’t very obvious). I played a few games, won and lost the same number and was down a load just from rake. What a waste of time.

So I switched back to Pokerstars and thought ‘what the hell’ – if I play against regs then even if I lose it’s good for my game. Learn to play ffs.

And just to make it more interesting I switched up to $20 games. It turned out ok too – played 6 and won 4 of them, so was up $34. I then decided I might just cope with a 4man SNG, and crushed it  :-D

Total winnings for the night $97 (just an hour’s play too!).Two more straight wins and I’ll be bankrolled for $30 games

Ok, now I’m not scared of the regs. Well, not the regs on Thursday nights anyway…

Update: Hmm, just checked what kind of bankroll management people are recommending out there, and I’m being cautious (bit of a surprise!).  This is from an old (2007) 2p2 thread;

You can’t stand or would prefer not to have to move down levels.
You like to have a very padded roll to feel comfortable playing.
Losing a decent portion of your BR tilts you.
You are still learning how to own husngs and you aren’t quite comfortable playing them yet.
BR:$30 – $99 Play $2s
BR:$100 – $199 Play $5s
BR:$200 – $399 Play $10s
BR:$400 – $599 Play $20s
BR:$600 – $999 Play $30s
BR:$1000 – $2499 Play $50s
BR:$2500+ Play $100s
You are fine with having to move down.
You want to move up the ranks semi-quickly.
BR:$20 – $49 Play $2s
BR:$50 – $99 Play $5s
BR:$100 – $199 Play $10s
BR:$200 – $299 Play $20s
BR:$300 – $499 Play $30s
BR:$500 – $999 Play $50s
BR:$1000+ Play $100s
You are comfortable playing and adjusting to any stakes and player.
You are or have good reason to believe you are a solid winner. (Think 63%+ winrate here)
You have very minimal tilt issues.
You want to take on a bit more risk and build a roll quickly.
You are ok with having to redeposit if you bust early on.
BR:$10 – $24 Play $2s
BR:$25 – $49 Play $5s
BR:$50 – $99 Play $10s
BR:$100 – $149 Play $20s
BR:$150 – $249 Play $30s
BR:$250 – $499 Play $50s
BR:$500+ Play $100s

I reckon I fit into the middle option – 3rd one looks kinda scary, I’d be playing $50′s now and only one win away from $100s! That looks like a route to busto to me. If my weekend session has a solid winrate though, I might be tempted 8-O (somebody stop me!)

More $$$

Sunday, February 7th, 2010

I tried to get onto the Pokerstars Sunday Million through an $11 satellite that guaranteed 100 seats. About 3500 people signed up for it though, so it looked like a bit a grind to get through it. I built up a decent stack quickly, and managed to stay in the top 50 for a couple of hours (10th at one point). However the blinds increased quickly and everyone switched to push/fold pretty quickly – it became a minefield to enter any pot. I also started to wonder about the point of getting through one massive MTT to enter another massive MTT, both of which run into the early hours, and I decided that if I got my ticket I’d just cash it in rather than play. The decision became moot though as I ran into a couple of suckouts and went out 340th – 100 places short of a seat. Waste of time really – I think from now on if I enter a big MTT it a) won’t be a sat, b) starts in the morning UK time…

Meanwhile, husngs continue to deliver;

Merely a handful of SNGs and a nice $50 profit :-D I played on PokerStars for a bit since their traffic is still twice that of Full Tilt and I figured that the $10 husngs should be guaranteed fishy. On the whole they are, but I’m still defeating myself more than being outplayed – aggression works well, but it’s very easy to walk into a calling station’s bottom pair. I’m still trying to get the balance, and it’s getting better, but not perfect yet.

The fourth tournament was a 4 person shootout – very profitable it seems, $11 buy-in for a $44 prize. Only downside is having to wait for the other table to finish in the first round.

Holy Sunday morning TV! Batman the movie just came on, and this just happened. This could be quality! :-D

Update: Solid run at 4 man HU shootouts :-D Won 4 out of 5! Could this be my biggest winning day? $132 – it must be I think, I can’t remember anything bigger, including the day I won $90 in a $2 180man MTT. They are very slow though – I’ve just had to wait almost half an hour for one pair of donks trading blinds before one randomly went through to play me…

Turns out my hourly rate in husngs is comparable to my day job salary. Sooo, if I could maintain 40 hours a week of poker I could be a pro!  I think I’ll wait until my hourly rate means I don’t have to play quite so many hours. Oh, and  also when I know I’ll be on a heater 100% of the time :-)

Cake Tackles Software Bug

Friday, February 5th, 2010

The Cake network seem to be taking that software bug seriously, although don’t seem to have determined a cause yet (they’ve just upped the monitoring of hands more).

An excellent response from Lee Jones, their representative on 2p2 forums though;

Q: What if I think I was the victim of a wrongly pushed pot before?

A: If you have a hand history, send it to our support people. If you want to ask our support folks for your most recent 1000 hands or so, feel free. If you can find (and we confirm) a wrongly pushed pot, we’ll ship you $500 for each occurrence. If you were the true winner of the pot and it wasn’t pushed to you, we’ll send you double the size of the pot plus the $500.

Pretty good if you think you can remember it happening. Both Hold’em Manager and PokerTracker validate each hand imported though, so I guess there’s  a possibility they may have rejected it and you won’t find it in your database (although it would still be in the original HH). That’s only a guess though, I know they check pot size on each street but checking the appropriate winner might be too much of an overhead for them to bother…

Update: lol, i should have read just a few more posts further :-D They’ve found the problem;

During the hand in question, there was a player who had missed the blinds and been asked to post a dead blind in the cutoff. He didn’t, but somehow there was a perfectly timed lag between the client and the server that caused him to have a “Fold” button presented (though he may or may not have seen it). Probably unknowingly, he clicked a non-existent “Fold” button, which went through to the server. The server has code built in to protect it from extraneous messages such as this (including malicious intent from hacked clients). But it turned out that it didn’t have that protection from a dead blind-posting player if the message was something that shouldn’t have been coming in anyway (e.g. a “Fold” from somebody who shouldn’t be allowed to fold in the first place).

The result of all this was for the system to believe that it had a side-pot between the sitting-out player and the small blind (the guy with the kings). It evaluated that pot, awarded that pot to the small blind, and then had no more pots to award, so it ended the hand.

We’ve fixed the code and are testing it. There’s a pretty good chance we could have gone another four years before we saw this again, but obviously we’re not going to wait and find out. The $500 offer I mentioned above stands; we think we’ve got this one beaten.

As regards the people who were involved in the meteor-strike pot, we’re going to treat it like a bad beat jackpot. We’re going to ship $500 to the guy who had the ace of trump and should have won the pot in the first place, $250 to the OP in this thread for reporting it, and spread $250 around the other players who were dealt in, including the mystery player who wasn’t dealt in but managed to fold anyway. Were it not for him, we’d have never found and removed this bug.

The Passion!

Friday, February 5th, 2010

Sure, he loves his poker alright – but has he ever run around spilling his piss bottle around the room and then taken a victory swig? No sir, I bet he hasn’t…


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