I played mainly $20 husngs this weekend and it was win some then lose some etc. I ended up $16 down which is pretty much the rake of all the games I played (shame it was Pokerstars – no rakeback silver lining this time).
I instantly think that I’ve hit my skill limits and should go back to $10s. What I should be thinking is that breakeven isn’t the same as losing – it’s just a hiccup. In fact if breakeven is what happens when you play/run bad, then I should be happy! How the f*k can I be thinking negatively when I’ve been running like this (2010 results so far);
(why isn’t HEM plotting the number of tournies at the bottom? That’s 150 tournaments there)
It’s not like the players were any different at $20s than they were at $10s. I’m still being my worst own enemy though – most of my losses have not been because I’ve been outplayed by aggressive super-regs, but because I bluffed too often and the other guy called me down with 3rd or 4th pair. Looking at the sharkscope charts of some of the guys that have beat me is truly embarassing.
Not break even or hiccup mate.You’ll be looking at a ROI of 10-20% so take 10% thats only $2 per game. Thats the way to look at it, if you win 3 in a row and are up $60 (-rake) in the long run it’ll even itself with the losing sessions to be 10%. If you look at the top top HUSNG players, they’re running at a 4 or 5% ROI.
6% is winning 53 out of 100 games. Which is the equivalent to win one, lose one 16 times followed by a win twice in a row?!?
yep, go onto sharkscope search ZISIMO7 on pokerstars. Top profiting HNSNG player on sharkscope, 5% ROI
Was thinking about this more. You should get a 10% ROI at HUSNG $20
whats the rake at HUSNG $20? Am going to use $1
100 x $21 = $2100
For a 10% ROI you want to win 10% of $2100 = $210
So total of $2310 winnings for $2100 entry = 57.75 games x $40 winnings.
Did you have a look at that bloke on sharkscope? If you look at “leaderboards” on there it’ll show all the top earners at HUSNG. On the list is croixdawg who is a tutor at HUSNG.com
I checked out ZakWray, who’s the leaderboard top dog for small stakes stuff ($20 – $50). I zoomed into his graph at $20 and he has some moments where he loses 10 or so games in a row and some streaks of win one lose one. On the whole though he has wins of 3 or 4 in a row before he gets a loss. Even with the bad streaks making it even out to 17% ROI, if I played like that I’d definitely feel like I was crushing the game.
Croixdawg has a good well post on 2p2 somewhere I think