Today, after a month of depressing crappy losses, I finally get a big winning session;
The first half was first thing this morning, and the second half was just now (7pm-ish). I’ve gone to 4 tabling as I think 6 tabling was making me a bit blasé about some decisions, and I need to focus a bit more.
So what’s the difference between today and the last 30 days? I really think it was mainly the lack of good hands compounded with my frustration – today I had 11 full houses and 7 flushes. I was hitting top pair often, and even more relevantly my opponents were happy to throw their money into the pot. They say that NL5 is all about value betting, and that’s so true – as long as you have something to value bet with!
Some quick maths to check, although sample size doesn’t make this too accurate;
Today: full house 1.89% of hands & flushes 1.2%
last month: full house 0.01% of hands, flushes 0.01%.
If I was to see every flop all the way to the river, I’d get a full house 0.14% of the time – I think that shows how hot I was running today (I think? I think it must be higher than that – 0.14% is from 5 cards, while NLHE is best 5 from 7 cards…)
The thing I really need to learn from last month is to minimise loss when the hands aren’t coming, especially when it’s a long dry period. Last month when the hands weren’t coming I was probably pushing too hard to make something out of nothing, rather than than battening down the hatches and watching the pennies. Losing almost 5BB/100 during a downswing is way too much.
